Published: Fri, May 19, 2017
Sport | By Gary Shelton

Preakness 2017 picks: Expert doesn't like Always Dreaming's chances to win again

Preakness 2017 picks: Expert doesn't like Always Dreaming's chances to win again

The reason I got off Street Sense for Curlin in 2007 was because Street Sense had a home track advantage in Kentucky and Pimilico was neutral ground. The colt has been dominant, including his semi-romp in the May 6 Kentucky Derby, winning by a combined 23 lengths. "But he's also the greatest trainer in America at keeping his horses in the barn". "There's some other nice horses in this race".

"We had a fast pace past year, with Nyquist, and they kind of collapsed and we came running and picked up some pieces". In the last five years, the Kentucky Derby victor has gone on to win the Preakness three times, with I'll Have Another (2012), California Chrome (2014) and American Pharoah (2015). "He came out good, he's back here at Santa Anita and we're looking to run him maybe in the Affirmed (Stakes on June 24)".

As for Always Dreaming, the big bay colt lives up to his name. To go from a horse without a win on the morning of January 25 to Derby victor on May 6 screams rare ability. I had zero questions about Chrome or Pharoah by this stage. I could not imagine either losing the Preakness and both won comfortably.

In what is most likely the last Preakness at Pimlico, look for an Oaklawn horse to capture the final trophy.

Always Dreaming has a great chance to control this thing from the start.

Three of the Kentucky Derby holdovers are running for redemption.

Following a surprise win in the 2012 Kentucky Derby, relatively unknown jockey Mario Gutierrez and I'll Have Another were out to prove they weren't just a one-hit wonder at the Preakness Stakes. Senior Investment 30-1 9.

"I watched Conquest Mo Money train this morning", Casse said, referencing the Arkansas Derby runner-up.

Hernandez will match skills in the Preakness with such accomplished veterans as Pletcher, a multiple Eclipse Award victor, and Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen.

Pletcher has boasted - which with him is very low key - all week about how well his horse is doing.

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Bellhouse described the once "sport of kings where one person owned 50 horses" having been transformed so that "50 people can own one horse". He gave Super Saver a breeze - or timed workout - between the first two Triple Crown races.

"The problem was that he was trying to buck with the draw reins on", Pletcher said. "I understand that. We're friends", Antonio Sano said.

Pletcher plans only to jog Always Dreaming on Friday. He may work out the ideal stalking trip and save ground racing behind front runners Conquest Mo Money and Always Dreaming. To cash either of these bets, Classic Empire must win and Gunnevera or Conquest Mo Money must finish second. Given the lack of speed, they should be no worse than third heading into the first turn.

He will break from post No. 4. The last time Classic Empire failed to win (3 in Holy Bull), he bounced back with a victory (Arkansas Derby).

"In a race like the Derby, it's so paramount to have good position going into the first turn", said Norman Casse, who assists his father, Mark, as Classic Empire's trainer.

"That might have been the best race he's ever run", Casse said Thursday. But rider Florent Geroux inexplicably took him to the middle of the track.

Hence, Term of Art, Senior Investment and Multiplier round out the field, and all of those horses have odds of 20-1 or higher.

One of the new horses Always Dreaming will face that Goldberg likes? Officially, my pick will be Classic Empire because I know he's better than his Derby finish.

"I thought he had a very strong, enthusiastic, contained gallop".

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