Published: Sat, May 20, 2017
Sport | By Gary Shelton

Arsenal must not underestimate Europa League, says Cech

City will finish third if it prevails over Watford next Sunday in the EPL season's final match.

Yet, the 32-year-old's previous outings this term suggest otherwise; he's awarded nearly one penalty every two matches this season - the highest average in the Premier League - and Arsenal have been amongst the biggest victims, with Oliver awarding three against them from five games.

We can be absolutely sure Everton won't do us a favour, but in fairness, if we can't beat an already relegated Middlesbrough on the final day of the campaign, we probably don't deserve Champions League football. But that shouldn't be mistaken for something almost as motivating as the top four place at stake for Arsenal.

Those two teams also face last-day thrillers against sides that could finish above or below them.

Everton in seventh place have qualified for the Europa League thanks to Man United's League Cup win and Chelsea and Arsenal competing for the FA Cup. But should Guardiola's side implode and lose 4-0 at Vicarage Road and Arsenal sneak a 1-0 win over Ronald Koeman's side, those results will wipe out City's goal advantage and leave the sides tied on 75 points with 75 goals scored and 43 conceded. The more cynical view, however, is that it is too little, too late, with Liverpool likely to condemn the Gunners to the Thursday nights in the Europa League. Let's see if Mourinho, who will again ring the changes vs.

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This would only happen if Liverpool wins by three goals and Man City draw as they would be level on all accounts and one extra game would need to be played to determine the final positions. 5th place if Liverpool win and Arsenal win big and overturn +5 goal difference.

First, draw will keep Liverpool in the top four as long as Arsenal loses, but that's a big risk.

Victories for Manchester City and Arsenal on Tuesday night confirmed that Manchester United will finish sixth this season - but the three places above them are still up for grabs. If Liverpool loses by two and Arsenal draw to our Merseyside counterparts a 39th game would have to be played.

Chelsea's £38 million for finishing top will be part of around £150 million in Premier League payments this season. Prior to that, the Reds had won four in a row at Anfield, beating Tottenham, Arsenal, Burnley and Everton.

Elsewhere on Sunday, Crystal Palace could be value to win at Old Trafford. The Watford manager has been told he will be leaving at the end of the season and they have finished very poorly, but what would Hull, Middlesbrough and Sunderland give to be Watford now?

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