Published: Thu, May 25, 2017
National | By Rosalie Gross

CBO: 23M More Americans Uninsured Under AHCA


The agency also found that premiums for single policyholders buying in the nongroup market would increase by an average of about 20% in 2018 and 5% in 2019.

The bill as approved will still decrease the deficit by $119 billion, about $32 billion less than the prior version of the bill. Insurers in these states would be allowed to charge higher premiums to those with pre-existing conditions if they let their coverage lapse. Starting in 2020, though, as some states apply for waivers, premium costs will vary.

By 2026, there would be 51 million Americans without health insurance under the plan. But "the variation around that average would be very large", the report said.

Joseph Antos, a resident scholar at the libertarian American Enterprise Institute who specializes in health care, said the new estimate "is the same signal repeated", conveying that the changes congressional Republicans envision would cut the price of premiums and trim the deficit while leaving more Americans without insurance.

CBO said the current version would result in savings of $119 billion over 10 years and 23 million more uninsured people than would be expected under the current law.

"The CBO has a long track record of being way, way off in its modeling, with predictions often differing drastically from what actually happens", Republican National Committee spokesman Mike reed said in an email sent to reporters shortly after the CBO release.The problem is that the numbers are the numbers.

Moments after the CBO's report, Trump and Republicans were blasted on social media. Republicans have been trashing CBO for months, saying they don't know how to count this stuff. Not everyone likes the CBO, but they are the gold standard when it comes to analyzing costs and impacts of legislation.

"The Affordable Care Act is on the brink of collapse and no bureaucratic government report can change that", said Rep. Tom MacArthur, R-N.J.

The budget office projected that premiums in those states would be lower for healthy people than under current law because their coverage would be narrower, but did not estimate an amount.

"I respect the CBO's role but just because a group of auditors down the block has created a model that has a lot of "if's, ' "ands" and 'maybes" looking out 10 years doesn't make that the gospel".

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Robert Wood Johnson Foundation President and CEO Richard Besser, MD, spoke in favor of the health insurance coverage Americans gained under the ACA.

Now that the report has been issued, the GOP proposal, known colloquially as "Trumpcare", is again the target of Democratic lawmakers.

"After the CBO score's release, several Republican senators said they do not support the House bill". Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn. But whether the Senate acts or not, the House votes are already on the record.

The CBO's assessment further complicates the task for the U.S. Senate, which is writing its own healthcare bill.

"We are on a rescue mission to bring down the cost of coverage and make sure families have access to affordable care", the Wisconsin Republican said in a statement. James Lankford, R-Okla.in a tweet.

GOP leaders were quick to point to the deficit reduction figure as good news for their legislation - even though an earlier version of the bill, rejected by the House, would have reduced the deficit by more than twice as much.

On Wednesday, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell told Reuters that he was unsure how the Senate would reach 50 votes. The Washington Post reports the Senate is unlikely to pass the AHCA as it stands and is working on its own bill. Those waivers were part of the series of amendments added to win votes from both conservative and moderate House Republicans.

The CBO report disputes Sen.

Democrats have defended Obama's law for expanding coverage and requiring insurers to provide stronger benefits. Critics say the law was doomed before Trump took office. "The AAMC stands ready to engage with the Senate to find ways to improve health care for all Americans".

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