Published: Mon, April 16, 2018
Sport | By Gary Shelton

India to have 'normal' Monsoon this year, says IMD

India to have 'normal' Monsoon this year, says IMD

As per historical data, the long-period average (LPA) rainfall - between June and September - is 89cm.

Rainfall below 90 per cent of the average is considered deficient, above normal at 105-110 per cent, and excessive above 110 per cent.

Monsoon rains, the lifeline of the country's United States dollars 2 trillion economy, are expected to be 97 per cent of a long-term average, KJ Ramesh, director general of the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), said. The department predicted 97% rainfall of long period average.

He said that there was "very less probability" of a deficient monsoon. According to a private weather forecasting agency the southwest monsoon is likely to be normal this year.

As per the IMD, there is 42 percent possibility of normal rainfall and 12 percent possibility of heavy rainfall - it means the country can witness some rainfall in the country.

If the forecast comes true, it will augur well for the country's economy, as it will be the third successive normal monsoon year.

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Meanwhile, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a thunderstorm warning for Monday.

Skymet also mentioned in its report that above normal rains will benefit the farmers who are expecting good showers in the sowing month of June.

Detailed forecasts on regional distribution will be made in early June, by when more information on El Niño and the IOD is available.

"India will receive normal monsoon this year". India had 95 percent of the LPA rainfall on the last 2017 - as against the first forecast of 96 percent of the LPA (with an error margin of +/- 5 percent).

Successive years of drought in 2014 and 2015 led to a fall in crop production and poor agriculture sector growth rate which fell to a low of -0.8% in 2014-15 and -0.1% in 2015-16.

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