Published: Tue, October 16, 2018
Sci-tech | By Carrie Guzman

Why climate change means beer could become more scarce

Why climate change means beer could become more scarce

But Dabo Guan, one of the study's lead authors who is a professor of climate change economics, noted that beer has been part of human history for thousands of years.

In a statement, Guan said that the increase in beer prices "will add insult to injury" for those living in the new environmental conditions, according to ScienceDaily.

He pointed to a fall in barley yields in the United Kingdom this spring as proof of climate change's effect on the crop. And the results of these two were given as inputs into a third, an algorithm that modelled the economy and showed price fluctuations of barley and beer.

"If you still want to still have a couple of pints of beer while you watch the football, then climate change [action] is the only way out".

If millennials don't kill the beer industry, climate change just might.

"Current levels of fossil fuel consumption and Carbon dioxide pollution - business as usual - will result in this worst-case scenario, with more weather extremes negatively impacting the world's beer basket", said co-author Nathan Mueller, an assistant professor of Earth system science at the University of California, Irvine (UCI).

Research co-author Dr Steven Davis, from the University of California at Irvine, US, said: "The world is facing many life-threatening impacts of climate change, so people having to spend a bit more to drink beer may seem trivial by comparison". Less than 20 percent of the world's barley is made into beer.

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In the United Kingdom, beer consumption could fall by between 0.37 billion and 1.33 billion litres, while the price could as much as double.

Beer prices in the wake of these disruptive weather events would, on average, double. They found that the yield would fall by between 3 and 17 per cent, depending on the severity of the conditions.

Beer is the most commonly imbibed alcoholic beverage in the world, and reductions in brewing would inevitably affect prices.

On Monday, Mueller tweeted: "Our new paper reveals a frightening impact of climate change extremes: decreasing beer supplies and large price increases".

"For beer drinkers, this (study) converts an abstract concept. into the more real future price of beer", Ellis said, according to The Guardian. Volume declined 0.4 percent, while dollar sales rose 1.2 percent, led by imports, craft beer and domestic super premiums.

Climate change could reshape the barley and beer market, the researchers say, depicting a situation where China - which now drinks more Budweiser than the USA - would scale back its beer consumption.

Beer production could plummet thanks to global warming. Consumption in the U.S. could decrease by between 1.08 billion and 3.48 billion litres.

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